Research
Research Areas
Banking, Financial Stability, Household Finance
Published and Accepted Papers
Digital Payments and Consumption: Evidence from the 2016 Demonetization in India
(with Sumit Agarwal, Pulak Ghosh, and Jing Li)
Review of Financial Studies, advance article online publication.
RFS Advance Article | Working Paper
Digital payments increase consumer spending due to subdued endowment effects.
Non-Performing Loan Disposals without Resolution
(with Ben Charoenwong and Meng Miao)
Accepted at Management Science
Paper | Twitter Thread
Banks conceal non-performing loans from regulators by devising transfers to designated resolution specialists and yet remaining exposed to the hidden risks.
Replaces “Hidden Non-Performing Loans in China”
Non-technical summaries: World Bank All About Finance Blog | ABFER Research Digest
Media coverage: The Economist (1, 2) | The Indian Express | Epsilon Theory
Transient Customer Response to Data Breaches of Their Information
(with Sumit Agarwal, Pulak Ghosh, and Yunqi Zhang)
Management Science, article in advance online publication.
MS Article in Advance | Working Paper | Twitter Thread
Consumers react modestly to multiple data breaches we examined, implying that the perceived benefit of convenience overweighs the cost of privacy leakages.
Replaces “Privacy versus Convenience: Customer Response to Data Breaches of Their Information”
Measuring the probability of a financial crisis
(with Robert F. Engle)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 116(37), pp. 18341–18346, September 10, 2019.
PNAS Open Access Article | Appendix | Data & Code
We highlight the global externality in the origins of financial crises.
Replaces “How Much SRISK Is Too Much”
Media coverage: Quartz
Selected Working Papers
Size-Based Regulation and Bank Fragility: Evidence from the Wells Fargo Asset Cap
(with Siddharth Vij, updated March 2024)
Paper | SSRN | Twitter Thread
Post-GFC heightened regulation on large banks contributed to the rise in fragility of smaller banks revealed by the 2023 regional bank crisis.
Media coverage: Reuters
Reducing Racial Disparities in Consumer Credit: Evidence from Anonymous Loan Applications
(with Poorya Kabir, updated December 2023)
Paper
Anonymous loan applications reduce racial disparities in access to credit by increasing lender reliance on objective credit risk measures.
Supporting Seniors: How Low-Income Elderly Individuals Respond to a Retirement Support Program
(with Sumit Agarwal, Wenlan Qian, and Bernard Yeung, updated March 2023)
Paper
The Silver Support Scheme, a means-tested elderly support program in Singapore, leads to beneficial additional spending and no strategic behaviors.
Saving Tax Incentives and Consumption: Evidence from a Policy Experiment
(with Sumit Agarwal, Souphala Chomsisengphet, Pulak Ghosh, and Man Zhang, updated June 2022)
Paper
Saving tax incentives increase net private savings by inducing households to cut consumption to fund voluntary savings.
The Economics of Shadow Banking: Lessons from Surrogate Intermediaries in China
(updated March 2018)
Paper
Entrusted loans made by Chinese listed firms to other firms fill the regulation-induced gap in bank loan supply.